Do You Think Opinion Polls Is a Good Representation of Facts?
Every time when preparations for elections are held in every country all over the world, we always see opinion polls published time and again. These polls are always conducted by reputable organizations, giving what they think is leading candidate in those upcoming elections. It has been used in the UK, US, France, to name but a few. On some occasions, they have rightly predicted the winner of the elections and currently in the upcoming US general elections, the national opinion polls are putting Mr.Joe Biden far ahead of Mr.Trump by a big margin. Do you think this the right prediction of what will happen on November the 3rd 2020?
Opinion polls provide a rough outlook of what things should look like, but in todays society there is again lots of fake news and distorting of the truth. Like I mentioned in another post it was stated today that there are a lot of sleeper votes – people who are saying they are voting Biden but will actually vote Trump. Only the 3rd November will give us the answer
What people say during Compaign is totally different from what they do on the day of the vote. In US election specially only the electoral college can determine the real winner. Let’s wait the 3rd November to see the winner.
No I don’t think. The opinion polls is based on people’s perception. Also, the opinions of people are subject to change.
The polls are effective for a normal situation. In my country, the polls usually predict the outcome of the elections well. However, the US 2016 elections show that the polls was not predictive of the election outcome.
I think there are things that are crucial in determining the outcome of the election but are not covered by the polls. And if the candidate have these things, they might prove the polls wrong. It is the case when Trump won the presidency in 2016.
Opinion polls cannot be a representation of people’s views because the study sample is very small compared to actual voters,how do you collect polls from 1000 people out of 10 million voters and give like 40 percent prefer A to B, when the sample cannot make one percent of total voters.
Hi Eli Davis, but we have witnessed many cases where it came to be true, for instance during President Barak Obama’s time opinion polls were always in his favor and he did it. Why do you think this time around it may not be the case?
I think it is too many opinion polls. Nowadays you have opinion polls about everything. It has been a business with big companies that are working with these polls. A positiv thing is that it gives jobs for many people. If it is a good presentaion of facts is a difficult question because it depends of number of interviews and the topic that is up in the polls.